2025 Topps Chrome Black Odds & Box Comparison

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Find pack odds

Search all 69 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.

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All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.

Card set / parallel	Hardest published odds
Black Lightning SuperFractor /1 SSP Numbered	1 in 9,232 packsHobby
Depths Of Darkness SuperFractor /1 SSP Numbered	1 in 9,232 packsHobby
Hit The Lights SuperFractor /1 SSP Numbered	1 in 7,134 packsHobby
Nocturnal SuperFractor /1 SSP Numbered	1 in 7,134 packsHobby
Rookies Design Variation SuperFractor /1 Numbered	1 in 5,813 packsHobby
Pitch Black Pairings Dual Autographs SuperFractor /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 4,687 packsHobby
Base SuperFractor /1 Numbered	1 in 3,340 packsHobby
Ivory Autographs SuperFractor /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 2,344 packsHobby
Super Futures Autographs SuperFractor /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 2,097 packsHobby
Rookies Autographs SuperFractor /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 1,992 packsHobby
Depths Of Darkness Red Refractor /5 SSP Numbered	1 in 1,635 packsHobby
Autograph Cards SuperFractor /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 1,351 packsHobby
Rookies Design Variation Red Refractor /5 Numbered	1 in 1,090 packsHobby
Pitch Black Pairings Dual Autographs Red Refractor /5 Auto Numbered	1 in 938 packsHobby
Base Red Refractor /5 Numbered	1 in 654 packsHobby

Showing 15 of 69 card sets.

Start with the rarest pulls

What’s hardest to pull?

Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.

Top 5 hardest published pulls

All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.

Black Lightning SuperFractor /1 1 in 9,232 packs Hobby · SSP
Depths Of Darkness SuperFractor /1 1 in 9,232 packs Hobby · SSP
Hit The Lights SuperFractor /1 1 in 7,134 packs Hobby · SSP
Nocturnal SuperFractor /1 1 in 7,134 packs Hobby · SSP
Rookies Design Variation SuperFractor /1 1 in 5,813 packs Hobby · Numbered

Top 5 hardest verified non-numbered pulls

Verified against the checklist as non-numbered. Cards with uncertain numbering are excluded.

Black Lightning 1 in 256 packs Hobby · SSP
Hit The Lights 1 in 205 packs Hobby · SSP
Nocturnal 1 in 205 packs Hobby · SSP
Depths Of Darkness Refractor 1 in 134 packs Hobby · SSP
Autograph Cards Refractor 1 in 90 packs Hobby · Autograph

Choose a box

Box format summary

Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.

Hobby

Packs per box: Not published
Cards per pack: Not published
Cards per box: Not published

Stated guarantee: None stated

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More box details and checklist coverage

Counts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.

Format	Boxes per case	Card sets	Autos / Relics / SSPs	Easiest auto
Hobby	Not confirmed	69 of 69	39 / 0 / 9	1 in 3 packs

How to read these odds

Published pack odds are Topps’ numbers, expressed as “1 in N packs”. A larger N means a harder pull. These rates apply to a card set or parallel, not a specific player.
Numbering comes from the checklist’s serial-number information. Sets with consistently blank serial numbers are classified as non-numbered. Conflicting or unmatched sets remain unverified; serial numbers in a set name are treated as numbered.
Calculated estimate uses published pack odds and a verified packs-per-box count, assuming packs are independent. Expected copies and the approximate chance of at least one are estimates, not guarantees.
Guaranteed hit is a stated promise. “1 autograph or relic” promises one or the other, not necessarily an autograph.
Multiple published rates for the same set and format are retained in row details. Rankings use the largest denominator; most-common sorting uses the smallest.
Not published / Not confirmed / — mean a verified figure is unavailable. Missing odds do not mean a pull is impossible.