Top 5 hardest published pulls
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Find the hardest published pulls, compare box formats, and explore the odds for the cards you collect.
Official odds captured Jul 30, 2026 from Topps’ published odds sheet
Search all 249 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.
All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.
| Card set / parallel | Hardest published odds |
|---|---|
|
Thermal Red Ink Autographs Superfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 1,038,464 packsValue |
|
Arc Flash Autographs Superfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 865,387 packsValue |
|
Molecular Marks Superfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 865,387 packsValue |
|
Neon Initiates Superfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 741,760 packsValue |
|
Circuit Breakers Superfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 576,925 packsValue |
|
Conductors Superfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 576,925 packsValue |
|
Protonyx Superfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 576,925 packsValue |
|
Voltaic Superfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 576,925 packsValue |
|
Base Signatures Superfractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 247,254 packsValue |
|
Thermal Red Ink Autographs Red Power Surge
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 192,309 packsValue |
|
Arc Flash Autographs Red Power Surge
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 152,716 packsValue |
|
Molecular Marks Red Power Surge
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 152,716 packsValue |
|
Base Superfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 144,232 packsValue |
|
Rookies Superfractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 144,232 packsValue |
|
Neon Initiates Red Power Surge
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 133,137 packsValue |
Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Verified against the checklist as non-numbered. Cards with uncertain numbering are excluded.
Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.
As an eBay Partner, Savvy Collecting may be compensated if you make a purchase through these links.
| Format | Box structure | Stated guarantee | Find a box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delight | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Delight on eBay |
| Hobby | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Hobby on eBay |
| Mega | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Mega on eBay |
| Value | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Value on eBay |
Counts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.
| Format | Boxes per case | Card sets | Autos / Relics / SSPs | Easiest auto |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delight | Not confirmed | 230 of 249 | 88 / 39 / 3 | 1 in 3 packs |
| Hobby | Not confirmed | 210 of 249 | 70 / 33 / 3 | 1 in 20 packs |
| Mega | Not confirmed | 173 of 249 | 48 / 0 / 1 | 1 in 25 packs |
| Value | Not confirmed | 173 of 249 | 48 / 0 / 1 | 1 in 133 packs |