Top 5 hardest published pulls
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Find the hardest published pulls, compare box formats, and explore the odds for the cards you collect.
Official odds captured Oct 21, 2026 from Topps’ published odds sheet
Search all 86 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.
All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.
| Card set / parallel | Hardest published odds |
|---|---|
|
Real One Relics Patch
/1
Relic
Numbered
|
1 in 5,801,169 packsValue |
|
Classic Renditions Autograph Pink Border
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 4,538,294 packsValue |
|
Founding Era Ink Pink Border
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 4,370,209 packsValue |
|
Heritage Rookie Autographs Pink Border
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 3,277,657 packsValue |
|
Chrome Autograph Variation SuperFractor
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 2,720,160 packsValue |
|
Walter Payton Rookie Redemption
Non-numbered
|
1 in 1,600,094 packsValue |
|
Locker Room Relics Patch
/1
Relic
Numbered
|
1 in 1,381,231 packsValue |
|
Real One Relics Red
/15
Relic
Numbered
|
1 in 1,318,447 packsValue |
|
Flashbacks Autographed Relics
Auto
Relic
Non-numbered
|
1 in 1,255,273 packsValue |
|
Gridiron Collection Relics Patch
/1
Relic
Numbered
|
1 in 1,160,234 packsValue |
|
Classic Renditions Autograph Red Border
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 936,473 packsValue |
|
Founding Era Ink Red Border
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 900,730 packsValue |
|
Chrome Autograph Variation Red
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 732,892 packsValue |
|
Rookie Lineage Relics Patch
/1
Relic
Numbered
|
1 in 715,144 packsValue |
|
Heritage Rookie Autographs Red Border
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 670,430 packsValue |
Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Verified against the checklist as non-numbered. Cards with uncertain numbering are excluded.
Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.
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| Format | Box structure | Stated guarantee | Find a box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | 20 packs × 8 cards160 cards per box | 1 autograph or relic per box | Shop Hobby on eBay |
| Mega | 17 packs × 8 cards136 cards per box | None stated | Shop Mega on eBay |
| Value | 8 packs × 8 cards64 cards per box | None stated | Shop Value on eBay |
| Fat Pack | Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box | None stated | Shop Fat Pack on eBay |
Counts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.
| Format | Boxes per case | Card sets | Autos / Relics / SSPs | Easiest auto |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | Not confirmed | 80 of 86 | 37 / 21 / 5 | 1 in 942 packs |
| Mega | Not confirmed | 67 of 86 | 31 / 16 / 5 | 1 in 384 packs |
| Value | Not confirmed | 67 of 86 | 31 / 16 / 5 | 1 in 375 packs |
| Fat Pack | Not confirmed | 45 of 86 | 9 / 12 / 5 | 1 in 189 packs |