Top 5 hardest published pulls
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Find the hardest published pulls, compare box formats, and explore the odds for the cards you collect.
Official odds captured Oct 22, 2026 from Topps’ published odds sheet
Search all 95 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.
All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.
| Card set / parallel | Hardest published odds |
|---|---|
|
Deck The Fields FoilFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 249,576 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Frozen Fields FoilFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 249,576 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Hidden Elf FoilFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 249,576 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Snow Globe Moments FoilFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 249,576 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Dear Santa Golden Glitter Holiday
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 215,152 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Rookie Autographs Golden Glitter Holiday
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 159,985 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Rookies Stocking Stuffer Metallic Santa Bag
Non-numbered
|
1 in 135,639 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Rookies Chrome Variation SuperFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 124,788 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Rookies Golden Glitter Holiday
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 124,788 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Base Autographs Golden Glitter Holiday
/1
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 66,377 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Base Stocking Stuffer Metallic Santa Bag
Non-numbered
|
1 in 43,632 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Base Chrome Variation SuperFractor
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 41,596 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Base Golden Glitter Holiday
/1
Numbered
|
1 in 41,596 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Rookie Autographs Green Glitter Holiday
/5
Auto
Numbered
|
1 in 32,667 packsHoliday Mega |
|
Rookies Stocking Stuffer Metallic Stocking
Non-numbered
|
1 in 32,328 packsHoliday Mega |
Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.
All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.
Verified against the checklist as non-numbered. Cards with uncertain numbering are excluded.
Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.
Stated guarantee: None stated
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Shop Holiday Mega on eBayCounts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.
| Format | Boxes per case | Card sets | Autos / Relics / SSPs | Easiest auto |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holiday Mega | Not confirmed | 95 of 95 | 14 / 0 / 2 | 1 in 171 packs |